Ariel
@Prolotario1
🇮🇶 Iraqi Dinar: The Wild Card Scenario (The One Thing (That Uproots Plan A & B)
Sudden U.S. Debt Default Crisis Triggering Global Currency Reset
Scenario Overview: A sudden U.S. debt default crisis, sparked by Congress failing to raise the $36 trillion debt ceiling by October 2025 amid partisan gridlock, could destabilize the USD’s global dominance, pushing Iraq to revalue the IQD overnight to capitalize on the chaos. With U.S. Treasury yields spiking (10-year notes hitting 6% from 4.2%), global markets would dump USD assets, slashing the dollar’s value by 20-30% in days. Iraq, holding $50 billion in USD-denominated reserves, faces a choice: lose trillions in value or revalue the IQD to a gold-backed rate (e.g., 1:1 or 3:1 USD) to preserve wealth and attract FDI. The CBI, already prepped with XRP-paired systems post-Ripple-SEC resolution (March 2025), could e*****e this in a weekend, aligning with BRICS nations (China, Russia) pushing a gold-backed currency, as discussed at the July 2025 Kazan summit. @JoelKatz’s X posts on XRP’s role as a “bridge currency” underscore this: Iraq’s digital infrastructure enables instant Forex integration.
Mechanics and Acceleration:
The CBI would announce an emergency rate shift on a Sunday (e.g., October 12, 2025), updating SWIFT codes and ATMs during a 48-hour bank closure, with capital controls capping withdrawals at $3,000 to curb panic. Iraq’s 162.7 tons of gold ($17.4 billion, Q2 2025) would back the IQD, leveraging a global gold price surge (potentially $3,000/oz post-USD crash) to justify a 1:1 rate, turning $35 billion in U.S.-held Iraqi reserves into trillions in value. The U.S. Treasury, desperate to stabilize markets, would greenlight this via backchannel talks (ongoing since April 2025), bypassing HCL delays. @KuwlShow’s X insights on Iraq’s readiness “banks are done, RV imminent” align, as CBI’s $40 billion H1 2025 currency sales show capacity to absorb volatility. Global investors, fleeing USD, would pour $100 billion into Iraq’s oil and tech sectors, cementing the rate. This wild card, though extreme, is plausible given U.S. debt ceiling talks (last raised January 2025) and could force Iraq’s hand by November.
This scenario accelerates revaluation by exploiting a black-swan event, collapsing USD hegemony and elevating IQD as a safe-haven asset. The D********e’s grip tied to petrodollar control would fracture. “A reset is coming.” Iraq, with WTO files completed and digital payments at 70% adoption, could seize this window, turning IQD holders’ $1,000 into $1 million at 1:1. The shock factor: a U.S. default, unseen since 1971’s gold standard exit, would rewrite global finance overnight, making Iraq a linchpin. Allow me to throw in my own scenario that is very out of left field but totally plausible.
This Only Shows How Wild Things Can Get
Read Full Article:
https://www.patreon.com/posts/iraqi-dinar-wild-138082652
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