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ITM Trading: We’re at the Exact Level that Triggered Every 40% Crash in History

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In today’s volatile financial landscape, separating genuine market signals from speculative noise is the ultimate challenge. Few analysts are as dedicated to this task as Gareth Soloway, who recently joined Daniela Cambone on ITM Trading for a sweeping, data-driven market analysis.

Soloway, known for his rigorous technical approach, delivered a stark warning across multiple asset classes: while the long-term outlook remains profoundly bullish for key assets like Bitcoin and gold, investors must brace for significant near-term technical corrections. This is the time for prudence, not panic, built on the pillars of diversification and strategic positioning.

For those celebrating Bitcoin’s recent highs, Soloway offers a necessary dose of technical reality. While he maintains a deeply bullish long-term stance on BTC, his analysis points to significant near-term risk based on historical chart patterns.

Soloway identifies key support levels for Bitcoin between $73,000 and $75,000. He anticipates that after a potential immediate dip, Bitcoin could see a substantial technical bounce, potentially pushing toward the $100,000 psychological mark.

The Warning: This upward move is likely a head-f**e. Soloway projects that following that bounce, Bitcoin is technically poised for a deeper correction—a critical piece of analysis often overlooked by media hype.

The enthusiasm surrounding Ethereum and various altcoins (like Solana) is palpable, but Soloway advises extreme caution. While these assets offer enticing swing trading opportunities, the rapid pace of technological evolution and competition introduces systemic risk. In a market correction, these more speculative assets tend to suffer the swiftest and deepest declines.

Soloway’s technical indicators suggest that traditional tangible assets are setting up for monumental rallies, but only after a necessary seasonal pullback.

Gold has shown remarkable strength, but Soloway notes that current market conditions mirror historical patterns that precede major moves.

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He forecasts a short-term retracement for gold, pulling the price back down to the $3,500–$3,600 range. Crucially, this is presented not as a collapse, but as the final staging ground for a much larger rally. Soloway projects that by 2026, gold could potentially soar to $5,000 per ounce, reinforcing its role as the premier store of value.

Perhaps the most compelling opportunity lies in the often-overlooked rare metals. Soloway identifies platinum and palladium as significantly undervalued. Given their scarcity and industrial utility, he suggests they possess substantial upside potential, positioning them as alternative hedges alongside gold and Bitcoin against currency degradation.

Silver is following a similar script, showing strong upward momentum but needing to clear a critical technical hurdle. Soloway expects silver to briefly pull back to around $40 per ounce before resuming its powerful upward trajectory.

Soloway’s most pressing warning is directed squarely at the euphoric equity markets, particularly the technology sector fueled by the AI boom.

He argues that the current valuations in key tech areas are divorced from technical and fundamental reality. Specifically focusing on the semiconductor sector (tracked by the SMH ETF), Soloway projects a significant correction.

Soloway forecasts a 40% correction in semiconductors based on the current historical deviation from the 200-week moving average—a key technical benchmark for long-term health.

Soloway stresses that the euphoria driving the tech sector reflects excessive optimism that historically precedes sharp and painful downturns.

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The overarching lesson from Soloway’s comprehensive analysis is unambiguous: diversification is not merely wise; it is essential financial defense.

In an environment where governmental scrutiny on digital assets is increasing, and systemic risks—including potential US dollar devaluation and expanding cyber threats—are intensifying, holding a diverse portfolio is paramount.

Soloway concludes by underscoring the enduring value of physical assets like gold and silver. In an age dominated by digital threats and fragile financial systems, these tangible holdings serve as the ultimate insurance policy against the unknown.

Staying ahead means understanding where the hype ends and the technical realities begin. Soloway’s data-driven outlook provides a crucial roadmap for investors seeking to protect and grow their capital through the inevitable market corrections ahead.

Want to hear the full technical breakdown and detailed charts? Watch the complete discussion between Daniela Cambone and Gareth Soloway on the ITM Trading channel for deeper insights into these critical market movements.

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