Fri. AM-PM Seeds of Wisdom Crypto Update(s) 12-19-25

(Note: If you’re looking for more news regarding cryptocurrency, please visit our website Bitcoin Commando. All crypto news will be posted there. ~ Dinar Chronicles)

Seeds of Wisdom

De-Dollarization Comes in Cycles, Not a One-Way Path: U.S. Fed

Federal Reserve research shows dollar dominance rises and falls in waves — not a straight decline

Overview

• Dollar dominance is cyclical, not linear
Federal Reserve research shows the U.S. dollar’s role in global debt markets expands and contracts over long cycles rather than permanently declining.

• De-dollarization narratives oversimplify reality
Despite rising rhetoric, historical data suggests dollar usage rebounds after downturns.

• Alternatives face liquidity and trust limits
China’s renminbi and other currencies lack the scale, openness, and confidence needed to displace the dollar.

• A multipolar system may emerge — not dollar collapse
The future points toward more currencies used in trade, with the dollar still at the center.

Key Developments

Dollarization Waves Identified by the Fed
The Federal Reserve paper Dollarization Waves: New Evidence from a Comprehensive International Bond Database analyzes over 60 years of global bond issuance. It finds repeated cycles where dollar usage rises, retreats, and then resurges — challenging the idea of a permanent shift away from the dollar.

De-Dollarization Momentum Faces Structural Barriers
While de-dollarization efforts have gained traction over the last two decades, the study shows that most developing nations still borrow heavily in U.S. dollars, reinforcing dollar demand during financial stress.

RMB Expansion Falls Short of Displacement
China has pushed the renminbi as a global alternative, but limited convertibility, capital controls, and trust concerns restrict its international adoption compared to the dollar.

Dollar Still Anchors Global Reserves
The U.S. dollar remains the dominant reserve currency worldwide. Even as its share fluctuates, no competing currency has matched its liquidity, legal transparency, and global acceptance.

Why It Matters

This research reframes the global currency debate. Rather than signaling the end of dollar dominance, current de-dollarization trends resemble past cycles that eventually stabilized or reversed. Understanding these patterns is critical as markets adjust to shifting trade alliances, rising geopolitical risk, and evolving monetary systems.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Foreign currency holders should recognize that dollar pullbacks historically create volatility — not replacement. Periods of diversification often precede renewed dollar demand during crises, debt servicing, and capital flight events.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Cyclical Dollar Power
The dollar’s dominance adapts rather than disappears, reinforcing its role during global stress while allowing room for diversification in calmer periods.

Pillar 2: Controlled Multipolar Transition
The global system is moving toward broader currency usage in trade and settlement — but without dismantling the dollar-based financial architecture.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Watcher.Guru – “De-Dollarization Comes in Cycles, Not a One-Way Path: US Fed”
• Federal Reserve – “Dollarization Waves: New Evidence from a Comprehensive International Bond Database”

~~~~~~~~~

Source: Dinar Recaps

=======================================

Market Turmoil and Liquidity Signals: Global Stocks & Bonds Shift

Equities fluctuate as inflation cools, bond markets steady, and investor caution rises

Overview

• Major U.S. equity mixed performance despite easing inflation
Inflation data showed slower price gains, lifting stocks though tech weakness persists.

• Continued volatility in major indexes
Indexes had consecutive losses amid renewed tech pressure and soft labor data.

• Fed liquidity measures calm year-end funding stress
U.S. Treasury bill purchases aim to reduce repo market strain into year-end. 

• EU joint debt issuance welcomed by markets
Investors viewed €90B shared U*******n loan positively for fiscal unity.

Key Developments

Stocks show internal divergence
U.S. markets saw gains on one day while global indices oscillated, reflecting lingering AI bubble concerns and anticipation of future rate moves. 

Bond markets show resilience
Yield trends stabilized as investors digest Fed liquidity support, though long-end yields remain sensitive to inflation and growth data.

EU joint borrowing signals fiscal evolution
EU’s decision to issue joint debt for U*****e reinforces investor confidence in euro-area policy unity—even as debt supply grows. 

Sentiment cautious on banks and sectors
Contrarian signals from fund managers indicate overly bullish positioning may be topping, suggesting risk management ahead.

Why It Matters

Markets are wrestling with slowing inflation, mixed economic cues, and structural shifts in fiscal policy. These dynamics influence capital flows, risk pricing, and whether markets embrace stability or correction phases—key drivers in broader financial reconfiguration.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Currency valuations respond to yield expectations and safe-haven flows. With global yields and fiscal policies shifting, foreign exchange portfolios may need recalibration.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Liquidity Anchors & Fiscal Integration
Central bank interventions and joint sovereign debt frameworks signal evolving global financial cooperation.

Pillar 2: Risk Adjustments in Capital Markets
Investor repricing of risk across equities and bonds shows deeper structural shifts in global capital allocation.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “Markets quietly welcome EU shift to joint borrowing for U*****e loan”
• Edward Jones – “Daily market snapshot”
• Fortune – “The bulls are too bullish”

~~~~~~~~~~

Banking & Crypto Integration: U.S. Fed Rewrites Rules—Opening Doors

Federal Reserve removes barriers and U.S. regulators accelerate digital-asset integration

Overview

• Fed eliminates risk stigma blocking banks from crypto services
New framework allows standard risk assessments for crypto engagement. 

• CFTC expands digital assets in derivatives markets
Recent guidance allows major digital assets as acceptable collateral.

• UK crypto regulatory consultation accelerates oversight
FCA invites public feedback on comprehensive crypto rules. 

• Tokenization and stablecoins reshape settlement infrastructure
Stablecoin market caps and institutional use grow as settlement tools. 

Key Developments

Fed rescinds restrictive guidance
Federal Reserve withdrew official guidance that limited banks’ ability to engage with crypto, aiming for ‘responsible innovation’ under existing risk management. 

CFTC enhances futures market participation
New no-action relief allows payment stablecoins, Bitcoin, Ether, and tokenized funds as collateral, boosting institutional crypto use. 

UK pushes comprehensive crypto rules
Financial Conduct Authority launched a detailed consultation on crypto asset listings, safeguards, and prudential requirements, aiming for a 2027 regulatory regime. 

Stablecoins become critical payments backbone
Market data shows stablecoins acting as de-facto settlement infrastructure with significant market cap and institutional interest. 

Why It Matters

Regulatory clarity is pivoting toward mainstream integration of crypto into banking and capital markets. This paradigm shift pushes digital assets from fringe speculation to core financial plumbing.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

Digital assets and tokenized money markets could influence FX liquidity, cross-border payment rails, and reserve asset composition, reshaping currency strategy.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar 1: Digital Assets as Financial Infrastructure
Crypto and stablecoins are evolving from speculative assets to systemic settlement layers.

Pillar 2: Aligning Traditional Finance With Decentralized Systems
Regulators balancing innovation and risk signal a new phase of hybrid finance.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “British regulator kicks off consultation on new crypto rules”
• Reuters – “US regulator grants crypto firms initial approval to launch trust banks”
• EconomyWatch – “U.S. Fed lifts guidance that blocked banks from crypto activities”
• CEO Today – “How stablecoins are rewiring institutional settlement”

~~~~~~~~~~

Energy & Trade Realignment Signals Post-Dollar Power Shift

Strategic energy deals accelerate as nations move pricing and trade outside U.S.-centric frameworks

Overview

• Major energy producers and consumers are locking in long-term supply agreements amid rising geopolitical risk
• Energy pricing and settlement structures are quietly shifting away from exclusive dollar dependence
• Trade corridors are being redesigned to bypass traditional Western-controlled chokepoints

Key Developments

• Multiple bilateral and bloc-level energy deals finalized using alternative settlement structures
• Expansion of non-dollar energy trade among BRICS-aligned and Global South nations
• Increased state control over energy assets as governments prioritize supply security
• Long-term contracts replacing spot-market exposure amid volatility

Why It Matters

Energy has become a strategic monetary anchor in the global restructuring. As nations secure supply and experiment with non-dollar settlement, energy markets are no longer just about fuel — they are about sovereignty, currency leverage, and insulation from sanctions risk. This marks a decisive step in dismantling the post-Bretton Woods trade order.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For holders of foreign currencies, cross-border assets, and trade-exposed investments, energy and trade realignment carries immediate and long-term consequences:

• Energy Pricing Influences Currency Stability: As energy contracts shift toward non-dollar settlement, currencies tied to energy trade may gain relative strength, while dollar-dependent importers face increased FX volatility.

• Reduced Dollar Recycling Weakens Liquidity Assumptions: Long-term energy deals settled outside the dollar system reduce global dollar circulation, impacting liquidity conditions that foreign currency holders have historically relied upon.

• Trade Route Realignment Alters FX Demand: New bilateral and bloc-based trade corridors reshape demand for settlement currencies, affecting exchange rates beyond traditional market signals.

• Energy-Backed Trade Supports Hard-Asset Valuation: Currencies linked to energy production and commodity exports gain structural support, while fiat currencies lacking resource backing may face devaluation pressure.

For foreign currency holders, these shifts signal a move away from predictable, dollar-anchored trade flows toward a resource-influenced currency landscape, where energy access and settlement choice increasingly drive value.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: De-Dollarized Trade Infrastructure
Energy pricing outside the dollar weakens its dominance in global trade settlement.

Pillar: Hard-Asset Anchoring
Energy joins gold and commodities as a stabilizing force in the emerging system.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – “ Reuters – “ Turkey’s BOTAS, Mercuria sign 20‑year LNG supply deal ” 
• Bloomberg – “Global Energy Trade Shifts as Nations Rethink Dollar Dependence”

~~~~~~~~~~

Sovereign Debt Stress & Currency Defense: Nations Move to Protect Balance Sheets

Governments restructure debt and fortify reserves as refinancing risks intensify

Overview

• Sovereign debt pressures are accelerating as countries face elevated refinancing costs
• Governments are restructuring obligations and adjusting FX frameworks to defend currencies
• Reserve strategies are shifting amid rising volatility in global capital markets

Key Developments

• U*****e Restructures GDP-Linked Debt: U*****e finalized a deal to restructure $2.6 billion in GDP-linked warrants, removing a major long-term liability that could have sharply increased future repayment burdens.

• Argentina Adjusts FX Bands and Reserve Policy: Argentina modified its foreign exchange bands and outlined a reserve-building strategy to stabilize the peso and restore investor confidence.

• Yuan-Denominated Debt Expands: Global borrowers increasingly turn to yuan funding, signaling diversification away from U.S. dollar-centric debt markets.

Why It Matters

Rising sovereign debt stress highlights the fragility of the existing financial system. As governments prioritize balance-sheet survival over growth, these actions signal preparation for systemic monetary transition. Debt restructuring, FX intervention, and reserve diversification are not emergency tactics — they are strategic positioning for a changing global order.

Why It Matters to Foreign Currency Holders

For holders of foreign currencies, sovereign bonds, or cross-border assets, these developments carry direct implications:

• Currency Defense Measures Can Alter Liquidity: FX bands, controls, and intervention policies can restrict convertibility and impact exit timing for foreign holders.
  
• Debt Restructuring Changes Risk Profiles: U*****e’s restructuring illustrates how payout terms, maturities, and expected returns can shift rapidly under stress.
  
• Reserve Diversification Impacts Valuations: Growing use of non-dollar funding — particularly yuan issuance — may affect relative currency strength and long-term purchasing power for foreign holders.

Together, these moves signal a less predictable environment for foreign currency exposure, where policy decisions increasingly override free-market assumptions.

Implications for the Global Reset

Pillar: Sovereign Balance-Sheet Defense
Governments are restructuring liabilities and reserves to survive monetary transition.

Pillar: Multipolar Currency Evolution
Debt stress accelerates diversification away from a single-reserve-currency model.

This is not just politics — it’s global finance restructuring before our eyes.

Seeds of Wisdom Team
Newshounds News™ Exclusive

Sources

• Reuters – U*****e clinches deal to restructure $2.6 billion in GDP-linked debt
• Reuters – Argentina’s new FX bands and reserves policy aim to boost credibility
• Reuters – Debt boom signals yuan’s arrival as a funding currency

~~~~~~~~~

Source: Dinar Recaps

______________________________________________________

If you wish to contact the author of a post, you can send us an email at voyagesoflight@gmail.com and we’ll forward your request to the author. If you have any questions about a post or the website, you may also forward your questions and concerns to the same email address.
______________________________________________________

All articles, videos, and images posted on Dinar Chronicles were submitted by readers and/or handpicked by the site itself for informational and/or entertainment purposes.

Dinar Chronicles is not a registered investment adviser, broker dealer, banker or currency dealer and as such, no information on the website should be construed as investment advice. We do not support, represent or guarantee the completeness, truthfulness, accuracy, or reliability of any content or communications posted on this site. Information posted on this site may or may not be fictitious. We do not intend to and are not providing financial, legal, tax, political or any other advice to readers of this website.

Copyright © Dinar Chronicles