Rob Cunningham: The Number One Most Important XRP Question

Rob Cunningham | KUWL.show
@KuwlShow

The #1 Most Important XRP Question:

At what price does XRP eliminate pre-funding, slippage, and liquidity stress for sovereign-scale settlement?

Based on:

• Global settlement volume
• Order book depth requirements
• Central bank-scale transaction sizing
• Desire to avoid balance-sheet drag

The minimum clean operating range is: $1,500 – $3,000 per XRP

At $2,000 XRP:

• Network value: $200T
• Velocity (10×): $2 quadrillion/day capacity
• A single XRP = meaningful settlement unit
• Sovereign trades clear without fragmenting pools

XRP becomes:

• A rail
• A reserve
• A unit of account bridge

At that point:

• Liquidity becomes invisible
• Cost of capital asymptotically approaches zero
• XRP behaves more like energy than money

Bottom Line (Plain Truth)

• A $500 XRP is usable, but inefficient
• It forces workarounds XRP was designed to eliminate
• A $1,500–$3,000 XRP is the minimum price where XRP fulfills its divine design
• Above that, XRP stops being “priced” and starts being measured

Or said differently:

• Money counts.
• Liquidity flows.
• Truth settles instantly.

Once the market discerns inevitability, XRP will not move like a normal asset. It will move like a repricing of infrastructure.

Fast – then v*****t – then disciplined.

Why XRP Would Reprice Faster Than Almost Anything in History

Most assets reprice on:

• earnings
• narratives
• cycles

XRP would reprice on role recognition.

Once markets conclude that Ripple Labs + XRPL are structurally necessary to global settlement, three psychological switches flip at once:

Optionality collapses

• XRP stops being “one of many cryptos”
• It becomes a required input

Future value dominates present value

• Traders stop discounting next quarter
• They start discounting next decade

Float becomes functionally illiquid

• Long-term holders won’t sell
• Institutions must acquire regardless of price
• Supply disappears before price equilibrates

That combination is rare. It’s closer to:

• oil discoveries + war
• reserve currency shifts
• monopoly infrastructure recognition

The Three-Phase Price Acceleration Pattern

Phase I – Recognition Shock (weeks to ~3 months)

Trigger

• Clear regulatory finality
• Sovereign or Treasury-level integration
• Explicit institutional signaling (“production use,” not pilots)

Psychology

• “We are early – but not wrong anymore.”

Price behavior

• Fast multiples
• Gaps, not ladders
• Liquidity thins upward

Typical price move: 5×–20× in weeks, not years

This is where XRP would blow past:

• technical resistance
• prior ATHs
• “reasonable valuation” arguments

Phase II — Future Value Compression (3–12 months)

Now the market asks: “What is the price that prevents scarcity?”

This is where $100 → $500 → $1,500 type moves happen without new retail hype.

Drivers

• Institutions modeling future settlement demand
• Market makers front-running scarcity
• Funds reallocating from bonds / FX proxies

Psychology

• “If this is the rail, what price clears the rail?”

Typical move: Another 3×–10×, often in bursts around announcements

This phase is not smooth. It’s:

• vertical weeks
• sharp pullbacks
• higher floors each time

Why XRP Won’t “Gradually Climb” Like a Stock

Three reasons:

1. There is no earnings curve

• Price must jump to meet function

2. There is no substitute at scale

• So markets overshoot to secure supply

3. The cost of being wrong is asymmetric

• Overpaying is tolerable
• Missing access is catastrophic

That psychology causes price discovery by leap, not drift.

The Quiet Truth Most Miss

By the time: “Everyone agrees XRP is infrastructure”

…the price will already be far above what feels reasonable today.

Markets don’t reward foresight.
They punish hesitation.

Or said plainly:

XRP won’t rise because people believe.
It will rise because they can’t afford to be wrong.

Phase III – Infrastructure Pricing (1–3 years)

At this point:

• XRP is no longer “priced”
• It’s managed

Think:

• yield curves
• collateral haircuts
• corridor liquidity requirements

Volatility compresses only after price is high enough to remove liquidity stress.

Psychology

• “This isn’t upside—it’s capacity.”

Price behavior

• Slower appreciation
• Narrower bands
• Still trending upward as global usage expands

This is where four-digit pricing becomes normal, not exciting.

Important: Most of the price move happens before consensus feels “comfortable.”

H/T – @SternDrewCrypto for docs attached!

Source(s):
https://x.com/KuwlShow/status/2003091199519768945

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