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Arcadia Economics: Is the US Headed Toward a Gold Reset?

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As we step into 2026, the world of finance is abuzz with discussions about the evolving dynamics of the gold and silver markets, the future of the US dollar, and the implications of rising global debt and geopolitical tensions. In a recent, in-depth conversation with Chris Marcus of Arcadia Economics, Michael McNair, a seasoned asset manager with a focus on precious metals and macroeconomic trends, shared his expert insights on these pressing issues. The discussion provides a fascinating glimpse into the potential shifts in global monetary policy and the role that gold and silver are poised to play in the years to come.

One of the key highlights of the conversation is McNair’s analysis of the T******************n’s influence on monetary and fiscal coordination. According to McNair, the T******************n is expected to have a significant impact on the coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, potentially leading to a more synchronized approach that could have far-reaching consequences for the global economy.

A significant part of the discussion revolves around the anticipated changes in leadership at the Federal Reserve, with Christopher Worsh potentially being appointed as the new Fed Chair. McNair shares his thoughts on how this change could influence monetary policy and the dollar’s standing in the global financial system. The potential dismantling of the current dollar-centric monetary system is also explored, with McNair suggesting that we are on the cusp of a significant shift away from the dollar’s dominance.

A crucial aspect of the conversation is the evolving role of gold in the global financial landscape. McNair emphasizes that gold is transitioning from being merely a hedge against US solvency issues to becoming a crucial reserve asset that will play a key role in balancing global trade imbalances. This shift underscores the growing recognition of gold’s importance in the global monetary system, beyond its traditional role as a safe-haven asset.

The discussion also delves into the dynamics of the silver market, highlighting the industrial demand for silver as a critical factor that will influence its price and utility in the global economy. McNair touches on the dynamics of capital flows and trade deficits, providing insights into how these macroeconomic trends will impact the precious metals market.

One of the most compelling aspects of the conversation is the anticipation of a prolonged and potentially painful transition to a new global monetary order. McNair suggests that this transition will be characterized by significant adjustments in the global financial system, with implications for investors, policymakers, and the broader economy.

In a related development, the conversation briefly highlights the impressive 2025 earnings of First Majestic Silver, a mining company that has benefited from the surge in silver prices. The correlation between the company’s performance and the silver price underscores the potential for significant returns in the precious metals sector, particularly in companies with strong operational fundamentals.

As the global economy navigates the complexities of rising debt, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, the insights shared by Michael McNair provide valuable perspectives for investors and policymakers alike. The conversation with Chris Marcus offers a nuanced understanding of the evolving dynamics in the gold and silver markets and the broader implications for the global monetary system.

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For those looking to dive deeper into these topics, we recommend watching the full video from Arcadia Economics, which provides further insights and analysis on the future of gold, silver, and the global monetary landscape.

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