The Nomad Economist: China Enters Economic Chaos!


The Nomad Economist
Premiered Feb 23, 2022

An important Chinese State-owned enterprise is collapsing; as are multiple Chinese banks.

China’s banking sector is showing signs of strain, with more than 13% of 4,379 lenders now considered “high risk” by the central bank.

Something is starting to severely crack in China’s financial system. Only three days after we posted a video about the self-destructive doom loop that is lacerating China’s smaller banks, where a second bank run occurred in just two weeks – an unparalleled event for a country where up to earlier this year not a single bank was allowed to fail publicly and has so far this year no less than five banks high profile nationalizations/bailouts/runs .

China is facing the biggest state-firm offshore debt failure in 20 years.

China Braces For D-Day: The unparalleled and Unprecedented Default Of A Massive State-Owned Enterprise. Tewoo , a major Chinese commodity trader, looks poised to become the most high-profile state-owned enterprise (SOE) to default in the US dollar bond market in over two decades.

In a fresh sign that Beijing is more willing to allow failures in the politically sensitive SOE sector, Tewoo Group has offered an unparalleled debt restructuring plan that implies deep losses for investors or a trade for new bonds with considerably lower returns.

Commodity giant Tewoo Group reportedly could become one of China’s all-time high profiled state-owned enterprises to default on a U.S. dollar bond. «Tewoo Group is very likely to default on its 300 million US dollar bond due December 16 » Bloomberg said in a report citing unnamed buy-side sources linked to the firm’s offshore debt manager. Dollar bonds? It’s the FEDs problem then. This is HUGE!

Tianjin-based Tewoo Group Co is owned by the local government and operates in a number of industries, particularly as regards of infrastructure, logistics, mining, autos, and ports, as reported by its website. It also has footprints in countries, including the US, Germany, Japan, and Singapore.

The trader ranked 132 in 2018’s Fortune Global 500 list, higher than many other conglomerates, including service carrier China Telecommunications Corp and financial titan Citic Group Corp.

 It had an annual revenue of US$66.6 billion, profits of about US$122 million, assets worth US$38.3 billion, and more than 17,000 employees as of 2017, according to Fortune’s website. Sixty-six billion in revenue but only 122 million in profits ; something is wrong.

The loans are all US dollar loans, so it’s America’s problem. All companies in China are state owned. They get a 51% stake in everything. People are better off not working for the state and just growing their own food, and staying at home, let the government starve.

Make them come and take 51% of your rice. The firm is neither listed on any stock exchange nor rated by the top three international rating companies. Tewoo Group’s financial difficulties came to the fore in April when it sought debt extension from its lenders and sold copper below market rates amid a cash crunch.

That month, Fitch Ratings slashed the company’s credit score by six notches in one go to B- to reflect its weak liquidity and higher-than-expected leverage.

Tewoo’s likely default suggests that Beijing is finding it increasingly hard to bail out troubled SOEs, let alone private firms, after the worst economic slowdown in three decades.

 It also heightens issues over Tianjin, where it’s based, following a series of rating downgrades and financing difficulties endured by some of the city’s state-run firms.

The metropolis near Beijing also has the topmost ratio of local government financing vehicle bonds to GDP in China. Investors anticipate high debt levels to limit the Tianjin authorities’ capacity to lend support to the city’s distressed firms, inducing them to reject the latter’s debt.


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