Arcadia Economics
Premiered Apr 28, 2023
Short term Treasury markets are predicting a temporary debt ceiling breach as the spread between 1M and 3M yields has blown up to the highest level ever this week.
That means short term money is piling into the most liquid and short term maturity, a clear sign of panic on the front even of the curve.
And while a temporary debt default is acknowledged as possible, what very few people understand is that even a temporary default of a few days has the power to collapse the entire financial system.
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