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This compilation of financial-related insights includes videos from Tech Revolution, Gregory Mannarino, Sean Foo, and Arcadia Economics.
Tech Revolution brings news of a move by the IMF that just shocked everyone. Gregory Mannarino talks about a super-meltdown, 10-year yield spiking, debt market sell-off, and more. Sean Foo discusses the US downgrading with the Dollar under attack. Greg Crennan joins Arcadia Economics discusses whether or not the Fed will get inflation back down to 2%.
Tech Revolution
Aug 3, 2023
In a rapidly changing global economy, the tides of financial power are shifting, and a new contender has emerged on the world stage—the Chinese Yuan. Today, we delve into a groundbreaking development that could reshape the international monetary landscape.
As the Argentine Peso took a plunge, China emerged as a key player in the rescue. But will this be enough to dethrone the mighty dollar and propel the Yuan to international reserve status?
Experts have different opinions, and we’ll explore the current details and possible outcomes for the world’s finances. So join us as we dive into the world of money and learn about the clues that suggest the Yuan could become a strong global currency.
So, what’s going on in the financial world? Well, the IMF has just dropped some hints that they might start accepting the Chinese Yuan as a currency for countries to settle their obligations. Wait, now who is this IMF?
The IMF, short for the International Monetary Fund, is an international organization created to promote global monetary cooperation and exchange rate stability. It was established in 1944 at the United Nations Monetary and Financial Conference, commonly known as the Bretton Woods Conference.
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The primary purpose of the IMF is to ensure the stability of the international monetary system by providing financial assistance and economic advice to member countries facing financial difficulties or balance of payments problems.
Member countries contribute funds to the IMF, and these resources are used to provide financial support to countries in need. The IMF also plays an important in keeping an eye on economies and giving advice to its member countries to help them grow and stay stable financially.
Additionally, it works to promote sound economic policies, reduce poverty, and enhance international trade and economic cooperation. It all started when Argentina recently paid off some of its debts to the IMF in Yuan—around $1.1 billion out of $2.7 billion. We’ll dive into more detail on that later.
The IMF spokesperson, Julie Kozack, confirmed this exciting news and said that the Argentine authorities are on top of their financial obligations. They call the Chinese currency “RMB” or “renminbi,” and it’s one of the five currencies that countries can use to settle their IMF dues.
From the looks of it, it seems like the Yuan is stepping up its game. The negotiations for a whopping $44-billion program are still ongoing. Some say there was talk about a letter from China, but Ms. Kozack shut that down, saying there’s no such letter.
The IMF and Argentina are working hard to complete their fifth review and address some challenging economic situations. It’s a bit private since the teams are still discussing things, but the talks are happening frequently to make progress.
Who knows, maybe we’ll see more countries using the Yuan for international transactions soon. The financial world is changing, my friend, and it’s exciting to see how this Yuan revolution unfolds.
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Now let’s talk about how all of this is related to Argentina’s Peso. The Chinese Yuan is making its mark as a global currency. Last week, the Argentinian Central Bank paid a whopping US$1 billion to the IMF in Yuan, alongside another US$1.7 billion in ‘Special Drawing Rights’—that’s like the IMF’s own currency, made up of different world currencies.
It was the first time Argentina used the freely available Yuan from their exchange with China to pay off an international organization. Smart move, right? Though they intended it for China imports, they found a cool alternative use for it.
Sergio Massa from Argentina’s Economic Ministry spilled the beans, saying they made the June payments without using US Dollars, instead opting for SDRs and Yuan. The IMF gave it a thumbs-up and happily accepted the Yuan as payment while they continue to negotiate Argentina’s debt restructuring.
Now, Argentina’s been facing some tough times with a crazy drought, causing losses of a whopping US$20 billion. The Argentine Peso took a massive hit against the US Dollar, dropping 44% in the last twelve months, and inflation’s soaring up to 70%.
And, it’s not just an economic affair—it’s politics too. The IMF negotiations are going on smack in the middle of an Argentinian election campaign, with Massa playing a double role as the Minister of Economy and a candidate for President.
China’s been lending a helping hand in Argentina’s economic crisis. They recently renewed their bilateral currency swap agreement, worth a jaw-dropping ¥130 billion.
Gregory Mannarino
Aug 3, 2023
Is This The Beginning Of A SUPER-MELTDOWN? The 10 Year Yield IS Spiking! Let’s See. Mannarino
LIVE! The Debt Market SELL-OFF Continues! Crude Oil SPIKES. Fed. To The Rescue? Mannarino
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Sean Foo
Aug 3, 2023
A historic US debt downgrade threatens to plunge the dollar into big trouble. The ratings agency Fitch has officially downgraded America’s credit rating. This shows how much investors are losing faith in the US credit markets and the US dollar as well. But this debt crisis is much worse than it seems as US deficit spending is about to get worse!
Arcadia Economics
Premiered Aug 3, 2023
As the #FederalReserve continues to hike interest rates in its efforts to tame #inflation, the government figures have come down. Perhaps more than some expected, yet still a ways away from the Fed’s 2% mandate.
But what’s increasingly becoming a more relevant question, is whether the Fed will ultimately be able to be successful in its quest to reach that mandate.
Because the more the Fed hikes, the more pressure it puts on the economy and the banks. At a time where there’s already a fragile balance, that’s already resulted in a series of bank failures earlier this year.
So on today’s show, Greg Crennan of Golden Coast Consulting joins me to look at the dynamics behind the Fed’s efforts to fight inflation, and whether he thinks they will ultimately achieve their goal. He also talks about why the stock market has been rallying even despite the Fed’s hikes, and what he sees going forward for the #gold and #silver space.
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