This compilation of financial insights includes videos from Tech Revolution, Kinesis Money, Joe Blogs, and Commodity Culture.
Tech Revolution shares news of Germany’s industry shutting down due to the lack of natural gas from Russia. Andrew Maguire joins Kinesis Money to deconstruct the gold analyst Stockholm syndrome. Joe Blogs talks about the collapse of Russia accelerating as gas sales evaporate. Per Jander joins Commodity Culture to discuss how the uranium market works.
Sep 22, 2023
Germany is in hot water because it’s not getting enough Russian natural gas, and this could spell doom for some of their major industries. Yasmin Fahimi, one of the heads of the German Federation of Trade Unions, has sounded the alarm bells.
She’s saying that because of this gas shortage, industries like aluminum, glass, and chemicals might just crumble for good. Imagine the chaos that would unleash on the economy and people’s jobs.
To make things worse, this energy mess is making prices skyrocket, and Yasmin is suggesting we put a cap on energy prices for regular folks. The costs for CO2 emissions are climbing too, and that’s a double whammy for both households and businesses. Yasmin even thinks this could lead to some pretty tense situations in society and workplaces.
Economics Minister Robert Habeck is also in the mix, hinting at some secret plans to deal with the rising costs for utilities and customers. He’s comparing this gas crunch to Lehman Brothers causing the 2008 financial crisis.
Germany, once a European economic powerhouse, now lags behind its Western peers. Its prosperity is at risk, and the government appears stuck. Imagine Siegerland, not the prettiest place, but a financial treasure trove with ironworks, steel refineries, and global players like Coating Group. They specialize in rust-proofing steel parts, a job booming thanks to German construction demand.
Construction indicators spell trouble. Orders are slowing, and Philippe Dupont, Coatinc’s Managing Director, is anxious. It’s not just the Ukraine conflict or global tension – it’s the shift to eco-friendly production that keeps him awake. Yet, he’s frustrated with government policies that hinder innovation.
The government’s recent efforts, like tax breaks for small businesses and reducing bureaucracy, maybe too little, too late. Germany’s growth is sluggish compared to its peers, and its once-mighty automotive industry is dwindling.
The German Association of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises reports firms contemplating production moves abroad, while high energy prices threaten the chemical industry. A study suggests this could cost Germany €120 billion and 1.3 million jobs.
Germany’s economic woes aren’t sudden; they’re a result of long-term neglect. Experts warn that reforms are urgently needed. Werner Plumpe, an economic historian, blames “political bickering” for Germany’s inability to self-correct.
While entrepreneurs struggle with misguided policies, politicians play politics. The situation is dire, and Germany needs reforms, not empty promises. When Philipp Kessler bought a new production facility in Brandenburg for his green energy startup Turn2X last year, he was hopeful about profiting from Germany’s shift to renewable energy.
Turn2X produces hydrogen using green electricity, adding CO2 from sources like biogas to create methane, a clean-burning natural gas substitute. However, this innovative plant, though promising, has limited capacity, enough to supply only a few hundred households. Kessler plans to relocate it to Spain next year, citing Germany’s high electricity prices.
In Spain, direct links to solar and wind farms offer electricity at a fraction of the cost in Germany. This dilemma reflects Germany’s energy crisis. The country’s energy policy, despite promising a transition to clean energy, has been lackluster.
Over the years, numerous obstacles like a “solar cap” and resistance to power line construction have hindered progress. Economy Minister Habeck aims to revamp renewable energy, but the pace is sluggish. Delays in approvals and construction, coupled with inadequate power lines, have left Germany far from its renewable energy targets.
As a result, electricity prices remain high, affecting industries’ competitiveness. As if that wasn’t enough, Germany is also facing a looming workforce crisis. More than 7 million workers will retire in the next 12 years, exacerbating an existing labor shortage.
This shortage is costing the German economy nearly 100 billion euros in lost economic output, and it threatens crucial projects like transitioning to a carbon-neutral era, which requires skilled workers.
The reluctance to address this issue has been evident for years. Some are hesitant to embrace immigration as a solution, particularly within the conservative spectrum in Germany. Questions also arise about the level of pension security the government should promise, with resistance to setting a guaranteed pension level and raising the retirement age.
Sep 22, 2023
In this week’s episode of Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire digs deeper into the markers signalling the demise of the market manipulators, who have become entangled in a web of overleveraged positions and suspected gold price-rigging.
The whistleblower then diagnoses the “Stockholm syndrome” that’s hindering analysts from identifying how much gold is being withdrawn from exchanges before giving his thoughts on the arbitrage trading hampering Eastern & Asian gold markets.
Sep 22, 2023
RUSSIAN Revenue from Natural Gas has EVAPORATED due to the Economic Sanctions. Russia is struggling to be able to replace the lost revenue as they do not have the Infrastructure to convert Natural Gas to LNG and it will take DECADES to negotiate and build new pipelines. In this video I look at the current situation for Russia & Europe and ask whether there is a risk that Europe could face Shortages in Winter 2023/4.
Sep 22, 2023
Technical Advisor of the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Per Jander draws upon his years of experience as a uranium trader to reveal how the market works. Who are the buyers and sellers, how is uranium transacted, and how will the market evolve moving forward? Per answers these questions and more to give investors a better understanding of the dynamics of the uranium trade.
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