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Rob Cunningham: The Pattern of History

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Rob Cunningham | KUWL.show
@KuwlShow

The Pattern of History

For thousands of years, reserve currencies have been controlled by empires.

Roman Empire → Roman coinage
British Empire → Pound Sterling
American Empire → U.S. Dollar

The reserve currency and geopolitical power have traditionally been inseparable

The issuer gains:

cheaper borrowing
global influence
sanctions power
trade advantages
military leverage

David Schwartz has observed something profound:

The world may no longer want to exchange one empire for another

Not:

Dollar → Yuan

Not:

Dollar → Euro

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Not:

Dollar → Ruble

But potentially:

National reserve currencies coexisting
Neutral settlement assets between them

A KUWL View

My framework repeatedly argues:

The core issue is not who controls the system

The core issue is whether the system itself is trustworthy

That distinction matters

Most political discussions focus on:

Who wins?
Who governs?
Which nation dominates?

@JoelKatz has spoken in depth about a different question:

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What if the protocol itself becomes the trusted intermediary?

That is very similar to:

• TCP/IP for information
• GPS for location
• Standardized weights and measures for commerce

Nobody asks: “Who owns the inch?”

Nobody asks: “Who owns gravity?”

Nobody asks: “Who owns the meter?”

The protocol itself becomes trusted.

Honest Weights & Measures

This is where my favorite theme becomes relevant.

Historically:

Dishonest weights and measures appear when:

• records can be altered
• supply can be manipulated
• rules can change arbitrarily
• transparency disappears

Trust collapses.

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Conflict rises.

Economic friction rises.

The larger the system becomes, the more expensive distrust becomes.

Schwartz’s vision is essentially:

What if the world’s settlement layer operated according to transparent rules that no single nation could unilaterally manipulate?

That does not eliminate politics

It does not eliminate governments.

It does not eliminate currencies.

It simply creates a neutral layer underneath them.

Very similar to how the internet allows nations to communicate without one nation owning the protocol.

Why Smaller Nations Might Like This

This is another major point David makes

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The world’s largest powers naturally want influence

Smaller nations generally want fairness

If you are:

Vietnam
Kenya
Peru
Jordan
Chile
Singapore

you likely do not want:

• China controlling settlement
• Russia controlling settlement
• America controlling settlement
• Europe controlling settlement

You want:

predictability
neutrality
equal access

That is exactly the banking analogy David Schwartz has used

The smaller banks did not want systems controlled by their biggest competitors

The same logic can apply to nations

Where XRP Fits

Schwartz is not saying XRP becomes the world’s reserve currency

People often misinterpret him

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What he is describing is closer to:

National currencies remain

A neutral bridge asset facilitates movement between them

Think:

Dollars remain
Euros remain
Yen remain
Dirhams remain
Dinars remain

But settlement occurs through a neutral intermediary

That is fundamentally different than replacing sovereign currencies.

It is about connecting them.

Alignment With My Broader Geopolitical Thesis

Where my KUWL thesis and Schwartz’s thesis overlap:

Multipolar World

Both recognize: A single unchallenged reserve currency is unlikely to persist forever.

Reduced Friction

Both envision: Lower cost movement of value.

Transparency

Both emphasize: Trust increases when verification becomes easier.

Neutral Infrastructure

Both prefer: Rules over rulers.

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Protocols over arbitrary discretion.

Economic Cooperation

Both suggest: Mutually trusted infrastructure can reduce conflict.

Humanity may discover that lasting peace, prosperity & cooperation emerge not when one nation controls the world’s money, but when all nations can transact through transparent, neutral & verifiable systems no single rival can dominate.

Source(s):
https://x.com/KuwlShow/status/2067707004194353281

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