Home Intel Ross: October will be a Big Month for Iraq
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Ross: October will be a Big Month for Iraq

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Ross
@Ross_ptm

Iraq’s authorities ordered all security posts to intensify vehicle inspections nationwide and take legal action against any driver transporting prohibited items.

This includes civilian and military/security vehicles. No exceptions. The order came less than 24 hours after Prime Minister Ali Al-Zaidi (as Commander-in-Chief) raised the nationwide alert level, combat readiness, and canceled leave for commanders and unit leaders.

Stability + state monopoly on force creates the foundation for the revaluation of IQD:

• Foreign investment does not flow into a country where parallel armies can still move weapons at will.

• Banking and fiscal reforms, budget discipline, and any serious currency work require the central government to actually control the territory and the institutions.

• HCL / oil law progress, Kurdistan deals, and long-term reserves management all get easier when the state is visibly asserting control rather than negotiating with factions.

• International perception shifts when Baghdad is seen enforcing its own red lines instead of issuing statements.

This fits the pattern since he took office in May:

• Reviving real Commander-in-Chief authority

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• Anti-c********n “Dawn Crackdown” (arrests of political/business figures, inspections of official convoys, recovery of public funds)

• Forcing the weapons-under-state question into the open instead of kicking it down the road

• Making clear that Iraq will not be used as a launchpad against neighbors

Pay attention to what happens between now and SEPTEMBER 30th.

October will be a big month.

This meeting sits in a clear sequence of activity under the same leadership and converging quickly toward the September 30th deadline which I predict lines October up to be a big month for IQD.

Late July: Ministry of Finance announced formation of a national digital transformation team for public finance automation, aligned with the government’s financial/administrative reform program and international standards.

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July 27: Same Undersecretary reviewed stages of the TSA platform development — building a digital system for government bank accounts with real-time cash flow visibility.

August 5: Ali Karim met a World Bank team (led by Emmanuel Salinas) and formally started work on the executive digital transformation roadmap for MoF, including assessment of the current institutional reality, priorities, timelines, and performance indicators.

Today: Follow-up e*******n meeting on the concrete systems (IFMIS + TSA + tax/customs).

The fact that the same senior official is driving the national team, the World Bank roadmap, the TSA platform, and today’s prioritization meeting shows focused attention rather than box-checking.

Keep watching implementation metrics and the speed at which these systems actually go live.

I predict between now and September 30th.

Starlink didn’t just appear in Iraq overnight.

The groundwork had been in motion for months.

But the new government flipped the switch — license signed July 17, live service by July 29.

Under two weeks.

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That’s why the CMC is already warning the public: there are still no official agents, and anyone claiming to be one is a scammer.

Demand outran the regulated channels.

The sense of urgency to get the Iraqi population online is a clue to the work being done behind the scenes that will set IQD up for revaluation.

Source(s):
https://x.com/Ross_ptm/status/2085727889492988397
https://x.com/Ross_ptm/status/2085735481208434870
https://x.com/Ross_ptm/status/2085738534263292302

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